New era in energy innovation taking off?
During the last week I’ve come across two interesting pieces of news that breethes enthusiasm about the future of energy. One was the talk of Microsoft founder Bill Gates at this years TED conference. The other, reported on January 28 by, is a claim by the National Ignition Facility (NIF) program at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) that U.S. physicists are likely to successfully deploy a nuclear fusion reactor within two years (NIF/LLNL, DN, BBC, CNN).
Interestingly, Gates left out fusion from his top list of potential breakthrough technologies presented at TED. The reason was that, although theoretically interesting, nuclear fusion has until now been associated with a too big risk of development failure. Researchers at NIF/LLNL have now removed a major risk by successfully developing lasers capable of compressing and heating a plasma to the degree that nuclear fusion occurs. This technology is known as laser–plasma interaction (LPI).

Artistic rendering of lasers compressing a NIF target pellet. Image: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.
According to LLNL, the next step is to replace the dummy fuel pellet with a real one containing actual ignition–like frozen hydrogen fuel for the fusion process. They claim that they will start the new experiments already this summer.
From a product development perspective, they have successfully removed the greatest risk. The “value” of the emerging fusion technology has now increased significantly.
In Bill Gates’ talk at TED, titled “innovating to zero”, Gates expressed his intention to use his money for funding research on development of the so–called travelling wave reactor. According to Gates, this reactor is capable of burning U238, the 99% waste that is left over in the regular fission process which burns only 1% of the fuel.
So we have two interesting and potentially revolutionary technologies that shows significant promise. I don’t know how close the travelling wave reactor is to realisation, but apparently Gates finds it interesting enough to spend his own money, which he has so far used to sponsor research on malaria.
If any of these innovative technologies take off, it will lead to a revolutionary transformation of society.
For the steel industry, the cost of energy, as well as the political and societal desire to reduce CO2 emissions, has become a major concern. Labour unions, employers and some regional politicians appear to have reached a consensus that regular nuclear fission is the only viable solution (DN, Jernkontoret).
Currently, most innovation is targeted towards regenerative sources and methods for reducing energy consumption. This includes my own research, which aims to improve productivity in steel production by creating a fast production flow that (among other things) uses less energy. Flexible steelmaking and hot rolling technologies could potentially prevent a single steel plant from using up energy equivalent to a minor Swedish city. Every year.
Of course, with fusion or travelling wave reactors coming true, saving energy may turn out to be insignificant. However, I doubt that energy will be free even in the presence of clean and infinite sources.
Hopefully, these events signal the beginning of a new era of breakthrough technological advances that target the availability of clean energy. This may be the most important problem facing today’s society. Myself I’m willing to pick up Bill Gates call: “Let’s innovate to zero!”
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